References
Albrecht, S. V., Christianos, F., & Schäfer, L. (2024).
Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning:
Foundations and Modern Approaches.
Anderies, J. M., Folke, C., Walker, B., & Ostrom, E. (2013).
Aligning Key Concepts for Global Change
Policy: Robustness, Resilience, and
Sustainability. Ecology and Society,
18(2). https://www.jstor.org/stable/26269292
Anderies, J. M., & Janssen, M. A. (2016). Sustaining the
commons. Independent. https://dlc.dlib.indiana.edu/dlc/handle/10535/8839
Armstrong McKay, D. I., Staal, A., Abrams, J. F., Winkelmann, R.,
Sakschewski, B., Loriani, S., Fetzer, I., Cornell, S. E., Rockström, J.,
& Lenton, T. M. (2022). Exceeding 1.5∘C global
warming could trigger multiple climate tipping points. Science,
377(6611), eabn7950. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abn7950
Barfuss, W. (2020). Reinforcement Learning Dynamics in the
Infinite Memory Limit. Proceedings of the 19th
International Conference on Autonomous Agents
and MultiAgent Systems, 1768–1770.
Barfuss, W. (2022). Dynamical systems as a level of cognitive analysis
of multi-agent learning. Neural Computing and Applications,
34(3), 1653–1671. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-021-06117-0
Barfuss, W., Donges, J. F., & Kurths, J. (2019). Deterministic limit
of temporal difference reinforcement learning for stochastic games.
Physical Review E, 99(4), 043305. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.99.043305
Barfuss, W., Donges, J. F., Lade, S. J., & Kurths, J. (2018). When
optimization for governing human-environment tipping elements is neither
sustainable nor safe. Nature Communications, 9(1),
2354. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-04738-z
Barfuss, W., Donges, J. F., Vasconcelos, V. V., Kurths, J., & Levin,
S. A. (2020). Caring for the future can turn tragedy into comedy for
long-term collective action under risk of collapse. Proceedings of
the National Academy of Sciences, 117(23), 12915–12922. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1916545117
Barfuss, W., Donges, J., & Bethge, M. (2024).
Ecologically-mediated collective action in commons with tipping
elements. OSF. https://doi.org/10.31219/osf.io/7pcnm
Barfuss, W., Flack, J. C., Gokhale, C. S., Hammond, L., Hilbe, C.,
Hughes, E., Leibo, J. Z., Lenaerts, T., Levin, S. A., Madhushani Sehwag,
U., McAvoy, A., Meylahn, J. M., & Santos, F. P. (2024). Collective
Cooperative Intelligence. Forthcomming in the
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
Barrett, S. (1994). Self-Enforcing International Environmental
Agreements. Oxford Economic Papers,
46(Supplement_1), 878–894. https://doi.org/10.1093/oep/46.Supplement_1.878
Barrett, S. (2005). Environment and Statecraft:
The Strategy of Environmental
Treaty-Making. Oxford University Press. https://doi.org/10.1093/0199286094.001.0001
Barrett, S., & Dannenberg, A. (2012). Climate negotiations under
scientific uncertainty. Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences, 109(43), 17372–17376. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1208417109
Biggs, R., Preiser, R., de Vos, A., Schlüter, M., Maciejewski, K., &
Clements, H. (2021). The Routledge Handbook of
Research Methods for Social-Ecological
Systems (1st ed.). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003021339
Boers, N., & Rypdal, M. (2021). Critical slowing down suggests that
the western Greenland Ice Sheet is close to a tipping
point. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,
118(21), e2024192118. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2024192118
Botvinick, M., Wang, J. X., Dabney, W., Miller, K. J., &
Kurth-Nelson, Z. (2020). Deep Reinforcement Learning and
Its Neuroscientific Implications. Neuron,
107(4), 603–616. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.neuron.2020.06.014
Brander, J. A., & Taylor, M. S. (1998). The Simple
Economics of Easter Island: A Ricardo-Malthus
Model of Renewable Resource Use. The American
Economic Review, 88(1), 119–138. https://www.jstor.org/stable/116821
Brockmann, D. (2021). Im Wald vor lauter Bäumen: Unsere komplexe Welt besser
verstehen. Deutscher Taschenbuch Verlag.
Carpenter, S., Walker, B., Anderies, J. M., & Abel, N. (2001). From
Metaphor to Measurement:
Resilience of What to What?
Ecosystems, 4(8), 765–781. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-001-0045-9
Constantino, S. M., Schlüter, M., Weber, E. U., & Wijermans, N.
(2021). Cognition and behavior in context: A framework and theories to
explain natural resource use decisions in social-ecological systems.
Sustainability Science, 16(5), 1651–1671. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-00989-w
Daniel, C. J., Frid, L., Sleeter, B. M., & Fortin, M.-J. (2016).
State-and-transition simulation models: A framework for forecasting
landscape change. Methods in Ecology and Evolution,
7(11), 1413–1423. https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12597
Elsawah, S., Filatova, T., Jakeman, A. J., Kettner, A. J., Zellner, M.
L., Athanasiadis, I. N., Hamilton, S. H., Axtell, R. L., Brown, D. G.,
Gilligan, J. M., Janssen, M. A., Robinson, D. T., Rozenberg, J., Ullah,
I. I. T., & Lade, S. J. (2020). Eight grand challenges in
socio-environmental systems modeling. Socio-Environmental Systems
Modelling, 2, 16226–16226. https://doi.org/10.18174/sesmo.2020a16226
Epstein, J. M. (1999). Agent-based computational models and generative
social science. Complexity, 4(5), 41–60. https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1099-0526(199905/06)4:5<41::AID-CPLX9>3.0.CO;2-F
Farahbakhsh, I., Bauch, C. T., & Anand, M. (2022). Modelling coupled
human–environment complexity for the future of the biosphere: Strengths,
gaps and promising directions. Philosophical Transactions of the
Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 377(1857), 20210382.
https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2021.0382
Folke, C., Carpenter, S., Walker, B., Scheffer, M., Chapin, T., &
Rockström, J. (2010). Resilience Thinking:
Integrating Resilience, Adaptability and
Transformability. Ecology and Society,
15(4). https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-03610-150420
Garbe, J., Albrecht, T., Levermann, A., Donges, J. F., & Winkelmann,
R. (2020). The hysteresis of the Antarctic Ice Sheet.
Nature, 585(7826), 538–544. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2727-5
Giupponi, C., Ausseil, A.-G., Balbi, S., Cian, F., Fekete, A., Gain, A.
K., Essenfelder, A. H., Martínez-López, J., Mojtahed, V., Norf, C.,
Relvas, H., & Villa, F. (2022). Integrated modelling of
social-ecological systems for climate change adaptation.
Socio-Environmental Systems Modelling, 3, 18161–18161.
https://doi.org/10.18174/sesmo.18161
Goll, D., Heitzig, J., & Barfuss, W. (2024). Deterministic
Model of Incremental Multi-Agent Boltzmann
Q-Learning: Transient Cooperation,
Metastability, and Oscillations
(arXiv:2501.00160). arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2501.00160
Hoffman, M., & Yoeli, E. (2022). Hidden Games:
The Surprising Power of Game Theory to
Explain Irrational Human Behaviour. Hachette UK.
Izquierdo, L. R., Izquierdo, S. S., & Sandholm, W. H. (2024).
Agent-Based Evolutionary Game Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.13938500
Lenton, T. M., Armstrong McKay, D. I., Loriani, S., Abrams, J. F., Lade,
S. J., Donges, J. F., Milkoreit, M., Powell, T., Smith, S. R., Zimm, C.,
Buxton, J. E., Bailey, E., Laybourn, L., Ghadiali, A., & Dyke, J. G.
(Eds.). (2023). The Global Tipping Points Report
2023. https://global-tipping-points.org
Levin, S., & Xepapadeas, A. (2021). On the Coevolution
of Economic and Ecological Systems. Annual
Review of Resource Economics, 13(1), 355–377. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-103020-083100
Macy, M. W., & Flache, A. (2002). Learning dynamics in social
dilemmas. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,
99(suppl_3), 7229–7236. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.092080099
Marescot, L., Chapron, G., Chadès, I., Fackler, P. L., Duchamp, C.,
Marboutin, E., & Gimenez, O. (2013). Complex decisions made simple:
A primer on stochastic dynamic programming. Methods in Ecology and
Evolution, 4(9), 872–884. https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.12082
Meadows, D. H. (2009). Thinking in systems: A primer.
Earthscan.
Mnih, V., Kavukcuoglu, K., Silver, D., Rusu, A. A., Veness, J.,
Bellemare, M. G., Graves, A., Riedmiller, M., Fidjeland, A. K.,
Ostrovski, G., Petersen, S., Beattie, C., Sadik, A., Antonoglou, I.,
King, H., Kumaran, D., Wierstra, D., Legg, S., & Hassabis, D.
(2015). Human-level control through deep reinforcement learning.
Nature, 518(7540), 529–533. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature14236
Motesharrei, S., Rivas, J., & Kalnay, E. (2014). Human and nature
dynamics (HANDY): Modeling inequality and use
of resources in the collapse or sustainability of societies.
Ecological Economics, 101, 90–102. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2014.02.014
Müller, B., Hoffmann, F., Heckelei, T., Müller, C., Hertel, T. W.,
Polhill, J. G., van Wijk, M., Achterbosch, T., Alexander, P., Brown, C.,
Kreuer, D., Ewert, F., Ge, J., Millington, J. D. A., Seppelt, R.,
Verburg, P. H., & Webber, H. (2020). Modelling food security:
Bridging the gap between the micro and the macro scale.
Global Environmental Change, 63, 102085. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102085
Müller-Hansen, F., Cardoso, M. F., Dalla-Nora, E. L., Donges, J. F.,
Heitzig, J., Kurths, J., & Thonicke, K. (2017). A matrix clustering
method to explore patterns of land-cover transitions in
satellite-derived maps of the Brazilian Amazon.
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics, 24(1), 113–123. https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-24-113-2017
Nowak, M. A. (2006). Five Rules for the
Evolution of Cooperation. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1133755
Ostrom, E. (1990). Governing the commons: The evolution
of institutions for collective action. Cambridge university press.
Ostrom, E., Dietz, T., Dolšak, N., Stern, P. C., Stonich, S., &
Weber, E. U. (Eds.). (2002). The drama of the commons. National
Academies Press. http://www.nap.edu/catalog/10287
Page, S. E. (2018). The model thinker: What you need to
know to make data work for you. Basic Books.
Polasky, S., Carpenter, S. R., Folke, C., & Keeler, B. (2011).
Decision-making under great uncertainty: Environmental management in an
era of global change. Trends in Ecology & Evolution,
26(8), 398–404. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tree.2011.04.007
Raworth, K. (2017). Doughnut economics: Seven ways to think like a
21st-century economist. Chelsea Green Publishing.
Reyers, B., Moore, M.-L., Haider, L. J., & Schlüter, M. (2022). The
contributions of resilience to reshaping sustainable development.
Nature Sustainability, 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-022-00889-6
Rockström, J., Gaffney, O., Rogelj, J., Meinshausen, M., Nakicenovic,
N., & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2017). A roadmap for rapid
decarbonization. Science. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aah3443
Sayama, H. (2023). Introduction to the Modeling and
Analysis of Complex Systems. https://math.libretexts.org/Bookshelves/Scientific_Computing_Simulations_and_Modeling/Book%3A_Introduction_to_the_Modeling_and_Analysis_of_Complex_Systems_(Sayama)
Scheffer, M., Carpenter, S., Foley, J. A., Folke, C., & Walker, B.
(2001). Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems. Nature,
413(6856), 591–596. https://doi.org/10.1038/35098000
Schill, C., Anderies, J. M., Lindahl, T., Folke, C., Polasky, S.,
Cárdenas, J. C., Crépin, A.-S., Janssen, M. A., Norberg, J., &
Schlüter, M. (2019). A more dynamic understanding of human behaviour for
the Anthropocene. Nature Sustainability,
2(12), 1075–1082.
Schlüter, M., Baeza, A., Dressler, G., Frank, K., Groeneveld, J., Jager,
W., Janssen, M. A., McAllister, R. R. J., Müller, B., Orach, K.,
Schwarz, N., & Wijermans, N. (2017). A framework for mapping and
comparing behavioural theories in models of social-ecological systems.
Ecological Economics, 131, 21–35. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2016.08.008
Schultz, W., Stauffer, W. R., & Lak, A. (2017). The phasic dopamine
signal maturing: From reward via behavioural activation to formal
economic utility. Current Opinion in Neurobiology, 43,
139–148. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.conb.2017.03.013
Smaldino, P. E. (2017). Models Are Stupid, and We
Need More of Them. In R. R. Vallacher, S. J. Read,
& A. Nowak (Eds.), Computational Social
Psychology (1st ed., pp. 311–331). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781315173726-14
Steffen, W., Broadgate, W., Deutsch, L., Gaffney, O., & Ludwig, C.
(2015). The trajectory of the Anthropocene: The Great
Acceleration. The Anthropocene Review, 2(1),
81–98. https://doi.org/10.1177/2053019614564785
Steffen, W., Rockström, J., Richardson, K., Lenton, T. M., Folke, C.,
Liverman, D., Summerhayes, C. P., Barnosky, A. D., Cornell, S. E.,
Crucifix, M., Donges, J. F., Fetzer, I., Lade, S. J., Scheffer, M.,
Winkelmann, R., & Schellnhuber, H. J. (2018). Trajectories of the
Earth System in the Anthropocene.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,
115(33), 8252–8259. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1810141115
Sterman, J. D., & Sweeney, L. B. (2007). Understanding public
complacency about climate change: Adults’ mental models of climate
change violate conservation of matter. Climatic Change,
80(3), 213–238. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9107-5
Sutton, R. S., & Barto, A. G. (2018). Reinforcement learning: An
introduction (Second edition). The MIT Press.
Williams, B. K. (2009). Markov decision processes in natural resources
management: Observability and uncertainty. Ecological
Modelling, 220(6), 830–840. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.12.023